Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.005028 0.005709 0.006488 0.007455 0.008635 0.010044 0.011882
2025-12-07 0.003985 0.004802 0.005820 0.007214 0.009119 0.011712 0.015660
2025-12-14 0.003433 0.004299 0.005444 0.007119 0.009610 0.013362 0.019865
2025-12-21 0.003152 0.004077 0.005360 0.007354 0.010554 0.015868 0.026409
2025-12-28 0.002970 0.003952 0.005373 0.007706 0.011733 0.019106 0.036001
2026-01-04 0.002764 0.003758 0.005248 0.007805 0.012492 0.021839 0.046373
2026-01-11 0.002558 0.003538 0.005048 0.007733 0.012913 0.024040 0.057196
2026-01-18 0.002401 0.003376 0.004916 0.007751 0.013502 0.026835 0.072504
2026-01-25 0.002230 0.003174 0.004693 0.007566 0.013627 0.028578 0.086372
2026-02-01 0.002053 0.002947 0.004407 0.007220 0.013328 0.029118 0.096333
2026-02-08 0.001896 0.002741 0.004137 0.006870 0.012953 0.029333 0.105486
2026-02-15 0.001826 0.002671 0.004096 0.006965 0.013635 0.032972 0.139608
2026-02-22 0.001719 0.002541 0.003950 0.006856 0.013872 0.035632 0.177770
2026-03-01 0.001607 0.002395 0.003763 0.006641 0.013810 0.037349 0.217037
2026-03-08 0.001524 0.002292 0.003645 0.006556 0.014077 0.040514 0.288030
2026-03-15 0.001485 0.002262 0.003661 0.006765 0.015222 0.048213 0.489836
2026-03-22 0.001460 0.002255 0.003718 0.007079 0.016797 0.059693 1.033180
2026-03-29 0.001413 0.002203 0.003682 0.007166 0.017705 0.069050 2.080362
2026-04-05 0.001354 0.002126 0.003589 0.007103 0.018096 0.076016 4.051793
2026-04-12 0.001307 0.002069 0.003532 0.007119 0.018783 0.086193 11.758808
2026-04-19 0.001248 0.001985 0.003411 0.006954 0.018763 0.091296 31.402909
2026-04-26 0.001180 0.001881 0.003242 0.006646 0.018119 0.090662 57.348424
2026-05-03 0.001116 0.001782 0.003078 0.006334 0.017400 0.088882 99.700921